Challenge Cup · Scotland · ZLX Stadium
Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 0.9 – 1.8 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Raith Rovers travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 20% for Hamilton Academical.
Hamilton Academical have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Raith Rovers have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Hamilton Academical come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.9 for Hamilton Academical, 1.8 for Raith Rovers). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Hamilton Academical have won 0, Raith Rovers have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Raith Rovers to win at 1.85 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Raith Rovers to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Raith Rovers ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.99 | – |
Form
Hamilton Academical – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Montrose | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ Ross County | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs East Fife | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Airdrie United | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Gala Fairydean Rovers | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Alloa Athletic | 3–0 | W |
Raith Rovers – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Arbroath | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Stenhousemuir | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Morton | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Livingston | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers | 1–1 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Raith Rovers v Hamilton Academical | 2–2 |
More Challenge Cup predictions
League hub
Aberdeen U211
Queen's Park1
Airdrie United5
Elgin City0
Annan Athletic0
Ayr Utd2
Arbroath1
Queen of the South0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2
Dunfermline4
Clydebank1
Alloa Athletic0
East Kilbride7
Stirling Albion3
Edinburgh City0
Partick3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Raith Rovers 64%.
How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?
Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.