Challenge Cup · Scotland · North Lodge Park
Formartine United vs Cove Rangers prediction & analysis
Cove Rangers or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cove Rangers to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Formartine United 1.2 – 2.4 Cove Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cove Rangers shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 15% for Formartine United.
Formartine United have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Cove Rangers have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for Formartine United, 2.4 for Cove Rangers). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Formartine United have won 0, Cove Rangers have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Cove Rangers or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Cove Rangers to win at 1.80 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cove Rangers to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cove Rangers or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.57 |
| Half-time result | Cove Rangers ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cove Rangers / FT Cove Rangers ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.55 | – |
Form
Formartine United – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Johnstone Burgh | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Wick Academy | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Cove Rangers | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Inverurie Loco Works | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Deveronvale | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Civil Service Strollers | 2–0 | W |
Cove Rangers – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Airdrie United | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Peterhead | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Formartine United | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs East Fife | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Queen of the South | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Aberdeen U21 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 13 Oct 2026 | Cove Rangers v Formartine United | 2–1 |
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League hub
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Partick3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Formartine United vs Cove Rangers?
Our pick is Cove Rangers or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Formartine United vs Cove Rangers?
On our numbers Formartine United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cove Rangers 60%.
How many goals will there be in Formartine United vs Cove Rangers?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Formartine United vs Cove Rangers?
Formartine United vs Cove Rangers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at North Lodge Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.