Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Oriente Petrolero to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Oriente Petrolero take on Aurora on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera. Oriente Petrolero are 4th with 41 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Aurora sit 6th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Oriente Petrolero's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat The Strongest 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Aurora's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Real Tomayapo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Oriente Petrolero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Oriente Petrolero and 0.9 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oriente Petrolero 60%, draw 23%, Aurora 17%.
Safer route: Oriente Petrolero or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Oriente Petrolero to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oriente Petrolero or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oriente Petrolero60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Aurora17%fair 5.92 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.95Oriente Petrolero xG
0.94Aurora xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oriente Petrolero 2.0 – 0.9 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Our pick is Oriente Petrolero or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
On our numbers Oriente Petrolero have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aurora 17%.
How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.