Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.5 – 1.3 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fidelis Andria hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Virtus Francavilla.
Fidelis Andria have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Virtus Francavilla have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Fidelis Andria, 1.3 for Virtus Francavilla). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Fidelis Andria have won 1, Virtus Francavilla have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.89.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fidelis Andria to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria ✗ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.29 | – |
Form
Fidelis Andria – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Nardò | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Virtus Francavilla | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Real Normanna | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Bisceglie | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Forio 2014 | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Turris | 0–2 | L |
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Manfredonia | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Fidelis Andria | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Real Forio 2014 | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Gravina | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Gravina | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Gladiator | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Oct 2026 | Fidelis Andria v Virtus Francavilla | 2–1 |
More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions
League hub
Valenzana3
Biellese0
Caldiero Terme0
Cjarlins Muzane1
Gelbison0
Igea Virtus1
Real Normanna6
L'Aquila0
Piacenza2
Sasso Marconi Zola0
Teramo0
Latte Dolce2
Villa Valle1
Brusaporto0
Prato1
Ternana2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?
On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Virtus Francavilla 34%.
How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.