Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBiellese to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Valenzana vs Biellese preview and prediction
The match
Biellese travel to face Valenzana in the Coppa Italia Serie D on Wednesday 28 October (14:30 WAT).
Form guide
Valenzana's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Ligorna 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Biellese's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Alessandria 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Biellese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Biellese 4–1 Valenzana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.5 for Valenzana and 2.5 for Biellese. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Biellese or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Valenzana 1–2 Biellese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenzana21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Biellese57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
3.95Expected goals
1.48Valenzana xG
2.46Biellese xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.5 – 2.5 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Biellese or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valenzana vs Biellese?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Biellese 57%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Biellese?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–2 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Valenzana vs Biellese?
Valenzana vs Biellese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.