The Copa Del Rey sees Badajoz take on Tenerife on Wednesday 18 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Vivero.
Form guide
Badajoz's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tenerife's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with FC Andorra 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Badajoz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Badajoz and 1.3 for Tenerife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badajoz 23%, draw 25%, Tenerife 52%.
Safer route: Tenerife or draw (77%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badajoz23%fair 4.35 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Tenerife52%fair 1.94 · @1.70
2.41Expected goals
1.12Badajoz xG
1.29Tenerife xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.1 – 1.3 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win
52%
1.94
1.70
Double chance
Tenerife or draw
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.96
–
Form
Badajoz – last 6
DDDWWD
8 Nov
@ Ciudad de Lucena
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Puente Genil
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Sanluqueño
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Marbella
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 6
DDDDLD
1 Nov
vs FC Andorra
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Sabadell
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Girona
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Cordoba
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Cadiz
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Tenerife.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tenerife 52%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Tenerife?
Badajoz vs Tenerife (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Vivero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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