Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Alcazar vs Malaga preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Del Rey sees Alcazar take on Malaga on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Malaga's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Alaves 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Alcazar and 1.0 for Malaga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcazar 4%, draw 91%, Malaga 5%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Malaga or draw – a 96% chance. Predicted score: Alcazar 0–1 Malaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcazar4%fair 25.00
Draw91%fair 1.10
Malaga5%fair 20.00
2.00Expected goals
0.99Alcazar xG
1.01Malaga xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alcazar 1.0 – 1.0 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
91%
1.10
–
Double chance
Malaga or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Alcazar – last 2
WW
4 Oct
vs Talayuela
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Talayuela
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malaga – last 6
DLDLLD
23 Oct
@ Alaves
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
2–5
L
9 Oct
vs Espanyol
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Getafe
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Villarreal
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcazar and Malaga.
On our numbers Alcazar have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 91% and Malaga 5%.
How many goals will there be in Alcazar vs Malaga?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcazar vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is Alcazar 0–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcazar vs Malaga?
Alcazar vs Malaga (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.