Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction & analysis

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda preview and prediction

The match

Ciudad de Lucena host Rayo Majadahonda in the Copa Del Rey on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Ciudad de Lucena's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Estepona 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sant Andreu 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Ciudad de Lucena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Ciudad de Lucena 18%, draw 54%, Rayo Majadahonda 28%.
• Safer route: Rayo Majadahonda or draw (82%) at 1.33.
• Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 54% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Rayo Majadahonda or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.