Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Riffa to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Sitra vs Al Riffa preview and prediction
The match
Sitra host Al Riffa in the Premier League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Sitra are 7th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Al Riffa sit 1st on 15 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Sitra's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat A'Ali 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Riffa's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat East Riffa 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Riffa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Sitra and 1.6 for Al Riffa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sitra 12%, draw 20%, Al Riffa 68%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Riffa to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sitra 0–1 Al Riffa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sitra12%fair 8.47 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
Al Riffa68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
2.10Expected goals
0.47Sitra xG
1.63Al Riffa xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–216%
0–012%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sitra 0.5 – 1.6 Al Riffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Riffa to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Al Riffa or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.00
–
Form
Sitra – last 6
WLDDWL
16 Oct
@ A'Ali
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Al Najma
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Al-Hidd
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ East Riffa
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs Malkiya
3–0
W
5 May
vs Al Ahli
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Al Riffa – last 6
WLDDWW
17 Oct
vs East Riffa
4–0
W
13 Oct
@ Al Nasr
0–3
L
9 Oct
@ Malkiya
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Khalidiya
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Manama
5–1
W
29 Aug
vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sitra and Al Riffa.
Our pick is Al Riffa to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sitra vs Al Riffa?
On our numbers Sitra have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Riffa 68%.
How many goals will there be in Sitra vs Al Riffa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sitra vs Al Riffa?
Our predicted score is Sitra 0–1 Al Riffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sitra vs Al Riffa?
Sitra vs Al Riffa (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
