Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
2
Value bet: A'Ali to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Najma to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Al Najma vs A'Ali preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Najma take on A'Ali on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Al Najma are 8th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while A'Ali sit 9th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Al-Hidd 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
A'Ali's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Sitra 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Najma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Al Najma and 1.6 for A'Ali. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 40%, draw 24%, A'Ali 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.83.
Value angle: A'Ali to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–1 A'Ali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
A'Ali36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
3.30Expected goals
1.70Al Najma xG
1.60A'Ali xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.7 – 1.6 A'Ali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Al Najma – last 6
DWLWLW
17 Oct
vs Al-Hidd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Sitra
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs East Riffa
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Malkiya
1–0
W
27 Aug
vs Khalidiya
2–7
L
30 May
vs Manama
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
A'Ali – last 6
LLWLDW
16 Oct
vs Sitra
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ East Riffa
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Malkiya
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Khalidiya
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Manama
1–1
D
4 May
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and A'Ali.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Al Najma vs A'Ali?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and A'Ali 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs A'Ali?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs A'Ali?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 A'Ali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs A'Ali?
Al Najma vs A'Ali (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
