Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Espanol to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Central Espanol vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Uruguay sees Central Espanol take on Danubio on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo.
Form guide
Central Espanol's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Danubio's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Danubio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Central Espanol and 1.6 for Danubio. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Espanol 43%, draw 24%, Danubio 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Central Espanol 1–1 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Espanol43%fair 2.34 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Danubio33%fair 3.01 · @2.50
3.33Expected goals
1.78Central Espanol xG
1.55Danubio xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.8 – 1.6 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Espanol to win✗
43%
2.34
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Central Espanol / FT Central Espanol✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Central Espanol – last 6
LLLLDD
11 Oct
vs Club Nacional
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs Atletico Torque
1–4
L
17 Sep
vs Oriental
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Cerro Largo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LWLDDD
9 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Penarol
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Wanderers
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Juventud
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Danubio?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Danubio 33%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Danubio?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Central Espanol vs Danubio (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Maldonado4
Albion FC1