Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorea Republic U23 to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 preview and prediction
The match
Japan U23 travel to Toyota Stadium in the Asian Games on Saturday 3 October (11:30 WAT) to face Korea Republic U23. Korea Republic U23 are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while Japan U23 sit 1st on 9 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Korea Republic U23's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Australia U23 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Japan U23's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Uzbekistan U23 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Korea Republic U23 and 1.6 for Japan U23. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korea Republic U23 38%, draw 26%, Japan U23 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Korea Republic U23 1–1 Japan U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korea Republic U2338%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Japan U2336%fair 2.76 · @2.90
3.22Expected goals
1.63Korea Republic U23 xG
1.59Japan U23 xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Korea Republic U23 1.6 – 1.6 Japan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korea Republic U23 to win✓
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korea Republic U23 / FT Korea Republic U23✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.83
–
Form
Korea Republic U23 – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
@ Australia U23
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs China PR U23
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Vietnam U23
4–0
W
22 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
@ Qatar U23
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Thailand U23
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Japan U23 – last 5
DWWWW
30 Sep
@ Uzbekistan U23
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
1–0
W
23 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kyrgyz Republic U23
7–0
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korea Republic U23 and Japan U23.
What is the prediction for Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
On our numbers Korea Republic U23 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Japan U23 36%.
How many goals will there be in Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our predicted score is Korea Republic U23 1–1 Japan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
China PR U232
Uzbekistan U232