China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Uzbekistan U23 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUzbekistan U23 to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceUzbekistan U23 or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.22
China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 preview and prediction
The match
Uzbekistan U23 travel to Toyota Stadium in the Asian Games on Saturday 3 October (07:00 WAT) to face China PR U23. China PR U23 are 1st with 5 points from 3 games, while Uzbekistan U23 sit 1st on 9 points.
Form guide
China PR U23's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Korea Republic U23 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uzbekistan U23's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Japan U23 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uzbekistan U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for China PR U23 and 1.8 for Uzbekistan U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Safer route: Uzbekistan U23 or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Uzbekistan U23 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: China PR U23 0–1 Uzbekistan U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China PR U2314%fair 7.17 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.75
Uzbekistan U2366%fair 1.51 · @1.57
2.40Expected goals
0.63China PR U23 xG
1.77Uzbekistan U23 xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: China PR U23 0.6 – 1.8 Uzbekistan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uzbekistan U23 to win✗
66%
1.51
1.57
Double chance
Uzbekistan U23 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Uzbekistan U23 ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uzbekistan U23 / FT Uzbekistan U23✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.22
–
Form
China PR U23 – last 6
LWDDWW
30 Sep
@ Korea Republic U23
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Iran U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan U23 – last 6
DWWWWW
30 Sep
vs Japan U23
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Vietnam U23
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Kuwait U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Philippines U23
5–1
W
8 Jun
@ USA U21
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China PR U23 and Uzbekistan U23.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our pick is Uzbekistan U23 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Uzbekistan U23 66%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 0–1 Uzbekistan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea Republic U231
Japan U230