Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Montego Bay United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontego Bay United to win ✓66% · @1.20
Double chanceMontego Bay United or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.41
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden preview and prediction
The match
Dunbeholden travel to Wespow Park in the Premier League on Sunday 4 October (21:30 WAT) to face Montego Bay United. Montego Bay United are 4th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Dunbeholden sit 11th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Montego Bay United's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Racing United 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dunbeholden's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Mount Pleasant Academy 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Montego Bay United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Montego Bay United 4–3 Dunbeholden.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Montego Bay United and 0.4 for Dunbeholden. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montego Bay United 66%, draw 19%, Dunbeholden 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Montego Bay United to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Montego Bay United 1–0 Dunbeholden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montego Bay United66%fair 1.50 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @5.50
Dunbeholden15%fair 6.71 · @11.00
1.83Expected goals
1.41Montego Bay United xG
0.42Dunbeholden xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montego Bay United 1.4 – 0.4 Dunbeholden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?
Our pick is Montego Bay United to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?
On our numbers Montego Bay United have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dunbeholden 15%.
How many goals will there be in Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?
Our predicted score is Montego Bay United 1–0 Dunbeholden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Wespow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.