The Friendlies Clubs sees Fakel take on FC Vitebsk on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Fakel's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Vitebsk's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Torpedo Zhodino 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Vitebsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Fakel and 1.0 for FC Vitebsk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fakel 60%, draw 23%, FC Vitebsk 17%.
Safer route: Fakel or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Fakel 2–1 FC Vitebsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel60%fair 1.67 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.03
FC Vitebsk17%fair 5.81 · @4.47
3.03Expected goals
2.02Fakel xG
1.01FC Vitebsk xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fakel 2.0 – 1.0 FC Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win✓
60%
1.67
1.66
Double chance
Fakel or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.39
Half-time result
Fakel ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Fakel – last 6
LDLDLD
16 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Baltika
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ FC Rostov
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zenit
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Vitebsk – last 6
WDLWWL
20 Sep
vs Torpedo Zhodino
6–0
W
12 Sep
vs Belshina
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–3
L
28 Aug
vs Naftan
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ FC Minsk
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bate Borisov
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and FC Vitebsk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?
On our numbers Fakel have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Vitebsk 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is Fakel 2–1 FC Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?
Fakel vs FC Vitebsk (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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