Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.6 – 1.4 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slavia Sofia hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 36% for Botev Vratsa.
Slavia Sofia have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Botev Vratsa have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Slavia Sofia, 1.4 for Botev Vratsa). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Slavia Sofia have won 1, Botev Vratsa have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, Slavia Sofia to win at 2.62 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slavia Sofia to win ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia ✓ | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.33 | – |
Form
Slavia Sofia – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs CSKA 1948 | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Spartak Varna | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Dunav Ruse | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Levski Sofia | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Septemvri Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Ludogorets | 1–1 | D |
Botev Vratsa – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Dunav Ruse | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Levski Sofia | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | @ Septemvri Sofia | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Arda Kardzhali | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Botev Plovdiv | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ CSKA Sofia | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
| 10 Aug 2026 | Botev Vratsa v Slavia Sofia | 0–3 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Slavia Sofia v Botev Vratsa | 1–1 |
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Verl0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botev Vratsa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.