Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19 prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Israel U19 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Montenegro U19 0.8 – 1.7 Israel U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Israel U19 travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 20% for Montenegro U19.
Montenegro U19 have taken 2 points from their last 3 matches (0W 2D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Israel U19 have 4 points from their last 2 (1W 1D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Israel U19 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Montenegro U19, 1.7 for Israel U19). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Montenegro U19 have won 0, Israel U19 have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Israel U19 to win at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Israel U19 to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Israel U19 / FT Israel U19 ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.43 | – |
Form
Montenegro U19 – last 3
| 2 Oct | vs Israel U19 | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Iceland U19 | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Jun | vs Georgia U19 | 1–1 | D |
Israel U19 – last 2
| 2 Oct | @ Montenegro U19 | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | @ Cyprus U19 | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 2 Oct 2026 | Montenegro U19 v Israel U19 | 0–2 |
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What is the prediction for Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19?
On our numbers Montenegro U19 have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Israel U19 61%.
How many goals will there be in Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19?
Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19 (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.