Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Uganda vs Congo DR preview and prediction
The match
Uganda host Congo DR in the Friendlies on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Uganda's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Congo DR 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Congo DR's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Uganda 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Uganda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Congo DR 0–2 Uganda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Uganda and 1.1 for Congo DR. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uganda 26%, draw 21%, Congo DR 53%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Congo DR to win – a 53% chance at odds of 4.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uganda 0–1 Congo DR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uganda26%fair 3.80 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.00
Congo DR53%fair 1.88 · @4.00
1.80Expected goals
0.65Uganda xG
1.15Congo DR xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–017%
1–112%
0–211%
1–011%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uganda 0.7 – 1.1 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Congo DR to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 4.00.
Who will win Uganda vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Uganda have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Congo DR 53%.
How many goals will there be in Uganda vs Congo DR?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uganda vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is Uganda 0–1 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Uganda vs Congo DR?
Uganda vs Congo DR (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.