Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbion FC to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.71
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Cerro Largo take on Albion FC on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Cerro Largo are 15th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Albion FC sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerro Largo's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Danubio 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Albion FC's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Defensor Sporting 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Albion FC 2–2 Cerro Largo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Cerro Largo and 1.3 for Albion FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Largo 34%, draw 26%, Albion FC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Albion FC to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Largo34%fair 2.91 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Albion FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.14Cerro Largo xG
1.25Albion FC xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.1 – 1.3 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Albion FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
