Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.76
Atletico Torque vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
Danubio travel to Estadio Centenario in the Primera División Apertura on Friday 9 October (21:00 WAT) to face Atletico Torque. Atletico Torque are 2nd with 28 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Torque's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Danubio's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Cerro Largo 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Atletico Torque 2–0 Danubio. Across their last 2 meetings Atletico Torque have won 2, Danubio 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Atletico Torque and 0.7 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Atletico Torque or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Atletico Torque to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Torque or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Torque62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Danubio12%fair 8.09 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.80Atletico Torque xG
0.70Danubio xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.8 – 0.7 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our pick is Atletico Torque or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Danubio 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Atletico Torque vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
