FA Trophy · England
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Needham Market 1.7 – 1.5 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Needham Market hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 36% for Wingate & Finchley.
Needham Market have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Wingate & Finchley have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Needham Market, 1.5 for Wingate & Finchley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Needham Market to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Needham Market / FT Needham Market ✗ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.34 | – |
Form
Needham Market – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Bishop's Stortford | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Leamington | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Bury Town | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Anstey Nomads | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Rushall Olympic | 3–5 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Stamford | 4–0 | W |
Wingate & Finchley – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Carshalton Athletic | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Stanway Rovers | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Ramsgate | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Dartford | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Bedford Town | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Bedford Town | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Needham Market and Wingate & Finchley.
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Three Bridges2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley?
On our numbers Needham Market have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wingate & Finchley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley?
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.