FA Trophy · England
Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town prediction & analysis
Alfreton Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mickleover Sports 1.1 – 2.1 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alfreton Town travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 19% for Mickleover Sports.
Mickleover Sports have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Alfreton Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.1 for Mickleover Sports, 2.1 for Alfreton Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (9%).
Our pick is Alfreton Town or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alfreton Town to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Alfreton Town or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Alfreton Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 10% | 10.10 | – |
Form
Mickleover Sports – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Malvern Town | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Halesowen Town | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Sutton Coldfield Town | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Stamford | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Grantham Town | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Worksop Town | 0–1 | L |
Alfreton Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Warrington Town | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Ashton United | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Bury | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs United of Manchester | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Redcar Athletic | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Guiseley AFC | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mickleover Sports and Alfreton Town.
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Three Bridges2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Alfreton Town or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Mickleover Sports have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?
Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.