FA Trophy · England
Leek Town vs Bootle prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leek Town 1.9 – 2.1 Bootle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Leek Town and Bootle on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 43% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Leek Town have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bootle have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.9 for Leek Town, 2.1 for Bootle). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bootle to win ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Bootle ahead at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bootle / FT Bootle ✗ | 26% | 3.82 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 13.04 | – |
Form
Leek Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Lancaster City | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Ashton United | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Rylands | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Worcester City | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Hyde United | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bromsgrove Sporting | 1–2 | L |
Bootle – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Emley | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Silsden | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Liversedge | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Colwyn Bay | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Llandudno | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | @ Runcorn Linnets | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Bootle.
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Three Bridges2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Bootle?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Leek Town vs Bootle?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bootle 43%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Bootle?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Leek Town vs Bootle?
Leek Town vs Bootle (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.