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FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Basel 1893 to win ✗63% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42

FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 preview and prediction

The match

FC Winterthur host FC Basel 1893 in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).

Form guide

FC Winterthur's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat FC Aarau 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FC Basel 1893's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to FC ST. Gallen 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

FC Winterthur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished FC Basel 1893 2–2 FC Winterthur. Across their last 2 meetings FC Winterthur have won 0, FC Basel 1893 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for FC Winterthur and 2.6 for FC Basel 1893. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Winterthur20%fair 5.04 · @5.50
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @5.00
FC Basel 189363%fair 1.59 · @1.36
3.96Expected goals
1.40FC Winterthur xG
2.56FC Basel 1893 xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: FC Winterthur 1.4 – 2.6 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Basel 1893 to win ✗63%1.591.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultFC Basel 1893 ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Basel 1893 / FT FC Basel 1893 ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.42–

Form

FC Winterthur – last 6

WWWDDW
18 Sepvs FC Aarau2–1W
11 Sep@ Étoile Carouge1–0W
4 Sepvs Neuchatel Xamax FC4–0W
1 Sep@ Stade Nyonnais2–2D
28 Augvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
21 Aug@ Rapperswil2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LWLLDW
20 Sepvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
13 Sep@ FC Luzern4–2W
6 Sepvs FC Lugano1–3L
3 Sepvs FC Sion1–2L
29 Aug@ BSC Young Boys3–3D
22 Aug@ FC Zurich2–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC Winterthur2–2
22 Mar 2026FC Winterthur v FC Basel 18930–2
FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Basel 1893 63%.

How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.