Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Jagiellonia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Polonia Warszawa in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 1–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Chrobry Głogów 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Jagiellonia and 0.9 for Polonia Warszawa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jagiellonia 67%, draw 12%, Polonia Warszawa 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jagiellonia to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 2–0 Polonia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia67%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw12%fair 8.32 · @4.10
Polonia Warszawa20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
2.98Expected goals
2.05Jagiellonia xG
0.93Polonia Warszawa xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 2.0 – 0.9 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
67%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Jagiellonia ahead at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.37
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Wisla Krakow
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Lech Poznan
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Raków Częstochowa
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WDLWLW
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Górnik Polkowice
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
22 Aug
@ Nieciecza
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Jagiellonia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Polonia Warszawa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 2–0 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.