Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.26
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua host Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Juticalpa sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with LD Alajuelense 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juticalpa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Choloma 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Juticalpa 0–3 CD Motagua. Across their last 3 meetings CD Motagua have won 3, Juticalpa 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for CD Motagua and 0.8 for Juticalpa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 71%, draw 18%, Juticalpa 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua71%fair 1.40 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.75
Juticalpa11%fair 9.21 · @7.50
3.09Expected goals
2.30CD Motagua xG
0.78Juticalpa xG
45%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.3 – 0.8 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Juticalpa 11%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.