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Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles
2–0
FT

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

CD Motagua to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCD Motagua to win ✓71% · @1.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.26

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa preview and prediction

The match

CD Motagua host Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Juticalpa sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

CD Motagua's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with LD Alajuelense 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Juticalpa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Choloma 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Juticalpa 0–3 CD Motagua. Across their last 3 meetings CD Motagua have won 3, Juticalpa 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for CD Motagua and 0.8 for Juticalpa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CD Motagua71%fair 1.40 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.75
Juticalpa11%fair 9.21 · @7.50
3.09Expected goals
2.30CD Motagua xG
0.78Juticalpa xG
45%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.3 – 0.8 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✓71%1.401.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓89%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultCD Motagua ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12%8.26–

Form

CD Motagua – last 6

DWWLDW
23 Octvs LD Alajuelense0–0D
17 Oct@ Platense FC2–0W
11 Octvs Atlético Choloma2–1W
20 Sep@ Real Espana0–1L
17 Sep@ Alianza0–0D
13 Sepvs Génesis1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juticalpa – last 6

LLWLLW
18 Octvs Atlético Choloma1–2L
9 Oct@ Platense FC1–2L
20 Sepvs CD Marathon3–2W
14 Sep@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
7 Sepvs Génesis0–3L
29 Augvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua0–3
20 Apr 2026CD Motagua v Juticalpa2–1
26 Feb 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

On our numbers CD Motagua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Juticalpa 11%.

How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.