Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGénesis to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Génesis vs Estrella Roja preview and prediction
The match
Estrella Roja travel to Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 18 October (22:30 WAT) to face Génesis.
Form guide
Génesis's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Estrella Roja's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Real Espana 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Génesis and 0.9 for Estrella Roja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Génesis 58%, draw 21%, Estrella Roja 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Génesis to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Génesis 1–0 Estrella Roja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Génesis58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Estrella Roja21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
2.54Expected goals
1.67Génesis xG
0.87Estrella Roja xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Génesis 1.7 – 0.9 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Génesis to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Génesis / FT Génesis✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Génesis – last 6
LDLWLD
10 Oct
vs CD Olimpia
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Olancho
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ CD Motagua
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Juticalpa
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs CD Marathon
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja – last 6
LLDLDW
11 Oct
vs Real Espana
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Juticalpa
5–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Génesis and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Génesis to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers Génesis have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Estrella Roja 21%.
How many goals will there be in Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is Génesis 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Génesis vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
