Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm preview and prediction
The match
Lobos Upnfm travel to Estadio Carlos Miranda in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 18 October (02:30 WAT) to face Atletico Independiente. Atletico Independiente are 10th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Lobos Upnfm sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico Independiente's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Olancho 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with CD Marathon 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Atletico Independiente and 1.1 for Lobos Upnfm. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Atletico Independiente 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Independiente36%fair 2.76 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Lobos Upnfm40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
2.17Expected goals
1.05Atletico Independiente xG
1.12Lobos Upnfm xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Independiente 1.0 – 1.1 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lobos Upnfm to win✓
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.81
–
Form
Atletico Independiente – last 6
DLWDLD
12 Oct
@ Olancho
1–1
D
21 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
DWWLLL
11 Oct
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Atlético Choloma
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Real Espana
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Independiente and Lobos Upnfm.
What is the prediction for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Atletico Independiente have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lobos Upnfm 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Atletico Independiente 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Miranda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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