Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Nea Salamis vs APEA preview and prediction
The match
Nea Salamis host APEA in the Cup on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Form guide
Nea Salamis's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Apollon Limassol 2–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
APEA's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Ethnikos Achna 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
APEA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Nea Salamis and 0.7 for APEA. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nea Salamis 74%, draw 17%, APEA 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nea Salamis to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nea Salamis 2–0 APEA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nea Salamis74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.75
APEA10%fair 10.34 · @10.00
3.10Expected goals
2.37Nea Salamis xG
0.73APEA xG
45%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nea Salamis 2.4 – 0.7 APEA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nea Salamis to win✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Nea Salamis or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Nea Salamis ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nea Salamis / FT Nea Salamis✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Nea Salamis – last 6
LLWWLL
17 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ Apoel Nicosia
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Ermis
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Anorthosis
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ AEL
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs AEK Larnaca
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
APEA – last 6
WDWDWD
17 Oct
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Spartakos Kitiou
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Digenis Morphou
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Doxa
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Ahironas Onisilos
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nea Salamis and APEA.
Our pick is Nea Salamis to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs APEA?
On our numbers Nea Salamis have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and APEA 10%.
How many goals will there be in Nea Salamis vs APEA?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nea Salamis vs APEA?
Our predicted score is Nea Salamis 2–0 APEA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nea Salamis vs APEA?
Nea Salamis vs APEA (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AEK Larnaca2
Akritas2