Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSantos or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Santos vs Academia Cantolao preview and prediction
The match
Academia Cantolao travel to Estadio Municipal de Nasca in the Segunda División on Saturday 17 October (21:15 WAT) to face Santos. Santos are 6th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Academia Cantolao sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Santos's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Binacional 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Academia Cantolao's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Santos 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Santos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 October 2026, finished Academia Cantolao 0–3 Santos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Santos and 1.0 for Academia Cantolao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 58%, draw 24%, Academia Cantolao 18%.
Safer route: Santos or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Santos to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santos or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Santos 1–0 Academia Cantolao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Academia Cantolao18%fair 5.63 · @3.50
2.84Expected goals
1.88Santos xG
0.96Academia Cantolao xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Santos 1.9 – 1.0 Academia Cantolao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
Our pick is Santos or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
On our numbers Santos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Academia Cantolao 18%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–0 Academia Cantolao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
Santos vs Academia Cantolao (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Nasca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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