Value bet: Carlos A. Mannucci to win @ 2.35 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlos A. Mannucci to win ✗48% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci preview and prediction
The match
Carlos A. Mannucci travel to Estadio Heraclio Tapia in the Segunda División on Saturday 17 October (19:00 WAT) to face Alianza Universidad. Alianza Universidad are 5th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Carlos A. Mannucci sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alianza Universidad's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Carlos A. Mannucci 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Carlos A. Mannucci's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Alianza Universidad 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carlos A. Mannucci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 October 2026, finished Carlos A. Mannucci 3–1 Alianza Universidad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Alianza Universidad and 1.5 for Carlos A. Mannucci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Universidad 31%, draw 21%, Carlos A. Mannucci 48%.
Value angle: Carlos A. Mannucci to win at 2.35 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Universidad31%fair 3.22 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Carlos A. Mannucci48%fair 2.09 · @2.35
2.56Expected goals
1.10Alianza Universidad xG
1.46Carlos A. Mannucci xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.1 – 1.5 Carlos A. Mannucci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carlos A. Mannucci 48%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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