Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Stade Gabesien vs Moknine preview and prediction
The match
Moknine travel to face Stade Gabesien in the Ligue 2 on Sunday 4 October (15:00 WAT). Stade Gabesien are 17th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Moknine sit 28th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Stade Gabesien's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Ariana 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Moknine's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Redeyef 0–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Moknine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Stade Gabesien and 0.5 for Moknine. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Stade Gabesien to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Stade Gabesien 1–0 Moknine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Gabesien70%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.10
Moknine8%fair 11.97 · @8.50
2.45Expected goals
1.92Stade Gabesien xG
0.52Moknine xG
40%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stade Gabesien 1.9 – 0.5 Moknine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Gabesien to win✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Double chance
Stade Gabesien or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Stade Gabesien ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Gabesien / FT Stade Gabesien✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Stade Gabesien – last 6
DLWDDD
27 Sep
@ Ariana
1–1
D
30 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
25 May
vs US Tataouine
2–0
W
20 May
@ CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
12 May
@ Djelma
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ AS Kasserine
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Moknine – last 6
LDWWDW
27 Sep
vs Redeyef
0–3
L
12 May
vs Ariana
0–0
D
28 Apr
vs Ksour Essef
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Redeyef
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ AS Kasserine
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Kalaâ Sport
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Gabesien and Moknine.
What is the prediction for Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Our pick is Stade Gabesien to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
On our numbers Stade Gabesien have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moknine 8%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Our predicted score is Stade Gabesien 1–0 Moknine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Stade Gabesien vs Moknine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
