Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorba to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceKorba or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Korba vs EGS Gafsa preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Korba take on EGS Gafsa on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Korba are 8th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while EGS Gafsa sit 19th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Korba's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Bouchamma 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
EGS Gafsa's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to AS Kasserine 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Korba and 0.5 for EGS Gafsa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korba 64%, draw 24%, EGS Gafsa 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Korba to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Korba 1–0 EGS Gafsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korba64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
EGS Gafsa12%fair 8.38 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.61Korba xG
0.52EGS Gafsa xG
37%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Korba 1.6 – 0.5 EGS Gafsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korba to win✓
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Korba or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korba / FT Korba✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.22
–
Form
Korba – last 6
LDWLWL
27 Sep
@ Bouchamma
0–1
L
12 May
@ Bouchamma
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ EO Sidi Bouzid
5–1
W
22 Apr
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Jendouba Sport
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Kalaâ Sport
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
EGS Gafsa – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Sep
vs AS Kasserine
1–2
L
12 May
vs EO Sidi Bouzid
5–2
W
28 Apr
vs Jendouba Sport
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Ksour Essef
2–4
L
5 Apr
@ Stade Gabesien
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korba and EGS Gafsa.
Our pick is Korba to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
On our numbers Korba have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and EGS Gafsa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
Our predicted score is Korba 1–0 EGS Gafsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
Korba vs EGS Gafsa (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
