Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗65% · @1.55
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗32% · fair 3.08
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
Barendrecht host Waalwijk in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sports Centre de Bongerd.
Form guide
Barendrecht's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Kozakken Boys 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Waalwijk's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with De Graafschap 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Barendrecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.1 for Barendrecht and 0.9 for Waalwijk. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waalwijk to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Barendrecht 0–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barendrecht15%fair 6.67 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Waalwijk65%fair 1.55 · @1.55
1.00Expected goals
0.12Barendrecht xG
0.88Waalwijk xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–132%
0–214%
1–04%
0–34%
1–14%
From our goals model: Barendrecht 0.1 – 0.9 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
65%
1.55
1.55
Double chance
Waalwijk or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
32%
3.08
–
Form
Barendrecht – last 6
WWLWWW
24 Oct
@ Kozakken Boys
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs AFC Amsterdam
4–1
W
10 Oct
@ De Treffers
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Sparta Rotterdam II
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Almere City II
4–1
W
22 Sep
@ HHC
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DDLDLW
23 Oct
@ De Graafschap
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Heracles
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barendrecht and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Barendrecht have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waalwijk 65%.
How many goals will there be in Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Barendrecht 0–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Centre de Bongerd.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Excelsior '311
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Roda1
De Graafschap0
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