KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Roda vs De Graafschap prediction & analysis
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: De Graafschap to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Roda hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for De Graafschap.
Roda have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. De Graafschap have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Our pick is Either team to win at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, De Graafschap to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Roda to win ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
Form
Roda – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Almere City FC | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Jong Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Jong PSV U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Waalwijk | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Jong Ajax | 0–0 | D |
De Graafschap – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Waalwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | @ Jong Ajax | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Jong Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ FC Eindhoven | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Den Bosch | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs NAC Breda | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and De Graafschap.
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League hub
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Kloetinge0
Cambuur2
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Den Bosch5
Telstar0
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Koninklijke HFC0
GO Ahead Eagles5Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Roda vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Roda vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Roda have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and De Graafschap 35%.
When is Roda vs De Graafschap?
Roda vs De Graafschap (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.