Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJapan U23 to win ✓74% · @1.18
Double chanceJapan U23 or draw ✓93% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.77
Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23 preview and prediction
The match
Korea DPR U23 travel to Toyota Stadium in the Asian Games on Saturday 26 September (11:30 WAT) to face Japan U23. Japan U23 are 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Korea DPR U23 sit 2nd on 4 points.
Form guide
Japan U23's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Thailand U23 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Korea DPR U23's last 4: WDLD Most recently they beat Iran U23 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Japan U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.5 for Japan U23 and 0.7 for Korea DPR U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 46% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Japan U23 74%, draw 20%, Korea DPR U23 7%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Japan U23 3–0 Korea DPR U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Japan U2374%fair 1.36 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @5.50
Korea DPR U237%fair 15.23 · @12.00
3.24Expected goals
2.50Japan U23 xG
0.74Korea DPR U23 xG
46%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Japan U23 2.5 – 0.7 Korea DPR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan U23 to win✓
74%
1.36
1.18
Double chance
Japan U23 or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Japan U23 ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan U23 / FT Japan U23✓
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.77
–
Form
Japan U23 – last 3
WWW
23 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kyrgyz Republic U23
7–0
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Korea DPR U23 – last 4
WDLD
23 Sep
@ Iran U23
4–1
W
20 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ China PR U23
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ China PR U23
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Japan U23 and Korea DPR U23.
What is the prediction for Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
On our numbers Japan U23 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Korea DPR U23 7%.
How many goals will there be in Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our predicted score is Japan U23 3–0 Korea DPR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
China PR U233