China PR U23 vs Thailand U23 prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
China PR U23 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChina PR U23 to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
China PR U23 vs Thailand U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees China PR U23 take on Thailand U23 on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. China PR U23 are 1st with 5 points from 3 games, while Thailand U23 sit 2nd on 6 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
China PR U23's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with UAE U23 0–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thailand U23's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Japan U23 0–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
China PR U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 March 2026, finished China PR U23 2–2 Thailand U23.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for China PR U23 and 0.8 for Thailand U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was China PR U23 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: China PR U23 1–0 Thailand U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China PR U2363%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.72 · @3.70
Thailand U2322%fair 4.57 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.75China PR U23 xG
0.84Thailand U23 xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: China PR U23 1.8 – 0.8 Thailand U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
Our pick is China PR U23 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Thailand U23 22%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 1–0 Thailand U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
China PR U23 vs Thailand U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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