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Premier League · Ethiopia
2–2
FT

Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Kedus Giorgis to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.44

Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema preview and prediction

The match

The Premier League sees Kedus Giorgis take on Sheger Ketema on Monday 26 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Kedus Giorgis are 9th with 6 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Sheger Ketema sit 12th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Kedus Giorgis's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Adama Kenema 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Sheger Ketema's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Mebrat Hayl 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Sheger Ketema 1–0 Kedus Giorgis.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Kedus Giorgis and 0.4 for Sheger Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kedus Giorgis to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Sheger Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kedus Giorgis64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @2.90
Sheger Ketema15%fair 6.68 · @4.50
1.81Expected goals
1.37Kedus Giorgis xG
0.43Sheger Ketema xG
38%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–023%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 1.4 – 0.4 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKedus Giorgis to win ✗64%1.561.80 ▲
Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓85%1.18–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.461.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kedus Giorgis / FT Kedus Giorgis ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.44–

Form

Kedus Giorgis – last 6

DLDDWW
22 Octvs Adama Kenema1–1D
17 Octvs Ethiopia Bunna1–2L
10 Octvs Negelle Arsi1–1D
2 Jul@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni1–1D
26 Junvs Fasil Ketema1–0W
14 Junvs Mekelakeya3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 6

LDWWWL
20 Oct@ Mebrat Hayl0–1L
16 Oct@ Adama Kenema0–0D
11 Oct@ Ethiopia Bunna1–0W
2 Jul@ Suhul Shire2–0W
28 Junvs Mekelakeya2–0W
20 Jun@ Dire Dawa Kenema0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Sheger Ketema v Kedus Giorgis1–0
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Kedus Giorgis to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sheger Ketema 15%.

How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?

Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.