Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.50
Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Negelle Arsi take on Adama Kenema on Monday 26 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Negelle Arsi are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Adama Kenema sit 10th on 6 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Negelle Arsi's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Ethiopia Bunna 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Adama Kenema's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Kedus Giorgis 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Adama Kenema 1–2 Negelle Arsi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Negelle Arsi and 0.5 for Adama Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Negelle Arsi 58%, draw 25%, Adama Kenema 17%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Adama Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Negelle Arsi58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.08
Adama Kenema17%fair 5.97 · @4.55
1.72Expected goals
1.24Negelle Arsi xG
0.48Adama Kenema xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–018%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.2 – 0.5 Adama Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Adama Kenema 17%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Adama Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
