Value bet: Adama Kenema to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✗37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema preview and prediction
The match
Kedus Giorgis host Adama Kenema in the Premier League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Kedus Giorgis are 9th with 6 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Adama Kenema sit 10th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Ethiopia Bunna 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Adama Kenema's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Sheger Ketema 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Adama Kenema.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Kedus Giorgis and 0.7 for Adama Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kedus Giorgis 37%, draw 27%, Adama Kenema 36%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Adama Kenema to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Adama Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kedus Giorgis37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.60
Adama Kenema36%fair 2.81 · @3.20
1.50Expected goals
0.76Kedus Giorgis xG
0.74Adama Kenema xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 0.8 – 0.7 Adama Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Adama Kenema 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Adama Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
