Value bet: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win @ 2.62 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Nigd Bank to win ✗45% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.60
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Nigd Bank travel to face Awassa Kenema in the Premier League on Thursday 22 October (13:00 WAT). Awassa Kenema are 11th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank sit 4th on 8 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Awassa Kenema's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Ethiopian Medhin 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Mekelakeya 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.5 for Awassa Kenema and 0.8 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 87% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win at 2.62 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Awassa Kenema28%fair 3.52 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.50
Ethiopia Nigd Bank45%fair 2.22 · @2.62
1.25Expected goals
0.49Awassa Kenema xG
0.76Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
42%Both score
13%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–029%
0–122%
1–014%
1–111%
0–28%
1–24%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 0.5 – 0.8 Ethiopia Nigd Bank expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win✗
45%
2.22
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.60
–
Form
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLLDDL
17 Oct
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Mekelakeya
0–1
L
2 Jul
vs Adama Kenema
2–3
L
28 Jun
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Negelle Arsi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
WWDLDL
18 Oct
@ Mekelakeya
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Bahardar
2–2
D
26 Jun
@ Negelle Arsi
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Ethiopia Bunna
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Adama Kenema
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 45%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
