Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Kedus Giorgis take on Ethiopia Bunna on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Kedus Giorgis are 9th with 6 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Negelle Arsi 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Sheger Ketema 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kedus Giorgis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Kedus Giorgis 1–3 Ethiopia Bunna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Kedus Giorgis and 0.8 for Ethiopia Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Ethiopia Bunna to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kedus Giorgis38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Ethiopia Bunna36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
1.73Expected goals
0.88Kedus Giorgis xG
0.85Ethiopia Bunna xG
41%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 0.9 – 0.8 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ethiopia Bunna 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
