San Martin Formosa vs Atenas prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗71% · @1.40
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30
San Martin Formosa vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees San Martin Formosa take on Atenas on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio 17 de Octubre. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Atenas sit 18th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martin Formosa's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Atenas 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atenas's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to San Martin Formosa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
San Martin Formosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 September 2026, finished Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for San Martin Formosa and 0.4 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Formosa 71%, draw 21%, Atenas 8%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Formosa71%fair 1.41 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Atenas8%fair 11.99 · @8.50
2.26Expected goals
1.82San Martin Formosa xG
0.45Atenas xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
0–010%
3–010%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.8 – 0.4 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atenas 8%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
San Martin Formosa vs Atenas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 17 de Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
