Value bet: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Gimnasia Chivilcoy take on Olimpo Bahia Blanca on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Jose Maria Paz. Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 September 2026, finished Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy and 0.7 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win at 3.70 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Chivilcoy46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca29%fair 3.44 · @3.70
1.60Expected goals
0.95Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.65Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
41%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–019%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.9 – 0.7 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
