Value bet: KAC Kenitra to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKAC Kenitra to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour preview and prediction
The match
Yacoub El Mansour travel to face KAC Kenitra in the Botola 2 on Sunday 4 October (17:00 WAT). KAC Kenitra are 8th with 9 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Yacoub El Mansour sit 4th on 14 points (in the top four).
Form guide
KAC Kenitra's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Wydad Fès 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Yacoub El Mansour's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Chabab Mohammédia 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yacoub El Mansour arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for KAC Kenitra and 0.7 for Yacoub El Mansour. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: KAC Kenitra to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: KAC Kenitra 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAC Kenitra48%fair 2.10 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.75
Yacoub El Mansour28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
1.81Expected goals
1.08KAC Kenitra xG
0.72Yacoub El Mansour xG
40%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: KAC Kenitra 1.1 – 0.7 Yacoub El Mansour expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAC Kenitra to win✗
48%
2.10
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAC Kenitra / FT KAC Kenitra✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
KAC Kenitra – last 6
LWDLLL
26 Sep
vs Wydad Fès
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs AS Mansouria
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ AS Mansouria
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Chabab Mohammédia
3–4
L
27 Jun
vs Riadi Salmi
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yacoub El Mansour – last 6
WWDLWW
26 Sep
vs Chabab Mohammédia
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ FUS Rabat
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Difaa EL Jadida
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Maghreb Fès
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Olympique Safi
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAC Kenitra and Yacoub El Mansour.
What is the prediction for KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
On our numbers KAC Kenitra have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yacoub El Mansour 28%.
How many goals will there be in KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
Our predicted score is KAC Kenitra 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
