Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChabab Mohammédia to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda preview and prediction
The match
Chabab Mohammédia host USM Oujda in the Botola 2 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stade El Bachir. Chabab Mohammédia are 16th with 2 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while USM Oujda sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chabab Mohammédia's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Yacoub El Mansour 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
USM Oujda's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Mouloudia Oujda 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
USM Oujda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Chabab Mohammédia and 1.0 for USM Oujda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Chabab Mohammédia 1–1 USM Oujda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chabab Mohammédia45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
USM Oujda31%fair 3.24 · @3.25
2.31Expected goals
1.30Chabab Mohammédia xG
1.01USM Oujda xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chabab Mohammédia 1.3 – 1.0 USM Oujda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chabab Mohammédia to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chabab Mohammédia / FT Chabab Mohammédia✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Chabab Mohammédia – last 6
LWLLDL
26 Sep
@ Yacoub El Mansour
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs KAC Kenitra
4–3
W
27 Jun
@ Raja Beni Mellal
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Stade Marocain
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Widad Témara
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
USM Oujda – last 6
WWDLWL
27 Sep
vs Mouloudia Oujda
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Widad Témara
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Riadi Salmi
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Union Sportive Boujaad
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Mouloudia Oujda
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chabab Mohammédia and USM Oujda.
What is the prediction for Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
On our numbers Chabab Mohammédia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and USM Oujda 31%.
How many goals will there be in Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Our predicted score is Chabab Mohammédia 1–1 USM Oujda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade El Bachir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
