USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Mouloudia Oujda to win @ 3.50 – our chance 43% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +51%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMouloudia Oujda to win ✗43% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.92
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda preview and prediction
The match
The Botola 2 sees USM Oujda take on Mouloudia Oujda on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). USM Oujda are 6th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Mouloudia Oujda sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
USM Oujda's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Widad Témara 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mouloudia Oujda's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Wydad Fès 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Mouloudia Oujda 2–1 USM Oujda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for USM Oujda and 1.1 for Mouloudia Oujda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mouloudia Oujda to win at 3.50 – 43% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: USM Oujda 0–1 Mouloudia Oujda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USM Oujda33%fair 3.04 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Mouloudia Oujda43%fair 2.32 · @3.50
2.05Expected goals
0.93USM Oujda xG
1.13Mouloudia Oujda xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: USM Oujda 0.9 – 1.1 Mouloudia Oujda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
On our numbers USM Oujda have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mouloudia Oujda 43%.
How many goals will there be in USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Our predicted score is USM Oujda 0–1 Mouloudia Oujda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
