Value bet: Riadi Salmi to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChabab Ben Guerir to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi preview and prediction
The match
The Botola 2 sees Chabab Ben Guerir take on Riadi Salmi on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Chabab Ben Guerir are 12th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Riadi Salmi sit 13th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chabab Ben Guerir's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Riadi Salmi 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Riadi Salmi's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Chabab Ben Guerir 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Riadi Salmi 1–1 Chabab Ben Guerir. Across their last 2 meetings Chabab Ben Guerir have won 0, Riadi Salmi 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Chabab Ben Guerir and 0.9 for Riadi Salmi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Riadi Salmi to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Chabab Ben Guerir 1–0 Riadi Salmi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chabab Ben Guerir39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.62
Riadi Salmi34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
1.96Expected goals
1.02Chabab Ben Guerir xG
0.93Riadi Salmi xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chabab Ben Guerir 1.0 – 0.9 Riadi Salmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
On our numbers Chabab Ben Guerir have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Riadi Salmi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Our predicted score is Chabab Ben Guerir 1–0 Riadi Salmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
