Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Sestao River vs Terrassa preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Federacion sees Sestao River take on Terrassa on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Form guide
Sestao River's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Atlético Astorga 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Terrassa's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Ebro 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Sestao River and 1.0 for Terrassa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sestao River 62%, draw 21%, Terrassa 17%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sestao River 2–0 Terrassa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestao River62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Terrassa17%fair 5.85 · @3.75
3.00Expected goals
2.03Sestao River xG
0.97Terrassa xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sestao River 2.0 – 1.0 Terrassa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
62%
1.61
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Sestao River – last 6
WLWWDW
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Terrassa – last 6
LWDDDW
26 Sep
@ Ebro
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arnedo
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Binéfar
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Barbastro
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ San Juan
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Castellón II
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Terrassa.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sestao River vs Terrassa?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Terrassa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Terrassa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 2–0 Terrassa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Sestao River vs Terrassa (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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