Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Mostaganem to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMostaganem to win ✓53% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.61
Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey preview and prediction
The match
Mostaganem host Hussein Dey in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Mostaganem are 4th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Hussein Dey sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mostaganem's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Blida 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hussein Dey's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Taghit 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hussein Dey arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Mostaganem and 0.8 for Hussein Dey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Mostaganem to win at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Mostaganem 1–0 Hussein Dey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mostaganem53%fair 1.90 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Hussein Dey25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
2.21Expected goals
1.38Mostaganem xG
0.83Hussein Dey xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mostaganem 1.4 – 0.8 Hussein Dey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mostaganem to win✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mostaganem / FT Mostaganem✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.61
–
Form
Mostaganem – last 6
LDLDLL
19 Sep
vs Blida
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs El Bayadh
2–2
D
19 May
@ Ben Aknoun
0–3
L
12 May
@ USM Alger
1–1
D
7 May
vs JS Saoura
0–4
L
10 Apr
vs Khenchela
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hussein Dey – last 6
WWLWLD
19 Sep
vs Taghit
1–0
W
8 May
@ Koléa
3–1
W
1 May
vs JS El Biar
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ CRB Adrar
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ ASM Oran
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs JS Tixeraine
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mostaganem and Hussein Dey.
What is the prediction for Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey?
On our numbers Mostaganem have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hussein Dey 25%.
How many goals will there be in Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey?
Our predicted score is Mostaganem 1–0 Hussein Dey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey?
Mostaganem vs Hussein Dey (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.